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Jan. 27th, 2003 09:44 pm
bryant: (Default)
[personal profile] bryant

"In a roadside study, one in three reckless drivers who were tested for drugs tested positive for marijuana. It's more harmful than we all thought."

Gnrgh! Meaningless! How many other drivers tested positive for marijuana? Was the ratio of reckless to non-reckless drivers different for those testing positive than those testing negative? Were all the reckless drivers stopped tested? The language quoted implies that they weren't, so what factors determine who were tested and who weren't?

You know what's harmful? Public awareness campaigns that encourage people to think sloppily about statistics, that's what. These are the basic tools we need in order to make sense of the flood of information all around us, and ads like this rely on our failure to understand elementary statistics and survey methods. Pisses me off, if that wasn't obvious.

Date: 2003-01-27 10:33 pm (UTC)
merlinofchaos: (Default)
From: [personal profile] merlinofchaos
Hey Bryant, do misused statistics upset you?

Date: 2003-01-28 04:55 am (UTC)
From: [identity profile] rmd.livejournal.com
how exactly do they test for marijuana at a roadside stop? does the cop offer them chocolate-covered potato chips and see what the driver's reaction is?

Date: 2003-01-28 04:02 pm (UTC)
From: [identity profile] eyelessgame.livejournal.com
They probably figure potheads can't do statistics. :) :) :)
Seriously, though. Yes yes yes a thousand times yes. May you get better comments on your statistics rant than I got on mine. (I gave up responding to responses after several people in sequence proved they were just as bad at numbers as the person I was complaining about.)

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