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Who knew the Pentagon had a futurist? Wired interviews Andrew Marshall, who has been Director of the Office of Net Assessment since Nixon. Interesting stuff. My favorite quote:

A friend of mine, Yale economist Martin Shubik, says an important way to think about the world is to draw a curve of the number of people 10 determined men can kill before they are put down themselves, and how that has varied over time. His claim is that it wasn't very many for a long time, and now it's going up. In that sense, it's not just the US. All the world is getting less safe.

Indeed.