Oct. 8th, 2004

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For Matthew: Kerry 52%, Bush 48%, Nader 0%. Electoral College: 300 Kerry, 237 Bush.

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I've heard already twice, listening to the post-debate spin, that Republicans were relieved by Bush's performance during this debate. That's telling. It's not the Republicans Bush needed to relieve; he needed to relieve the undecided voters. I think Bush did a great job of making his base happy, but he simply can't win unless he can get the same moderate voters who liked compassionate conservatism four yeas ago.

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