You mean to tell me you're going to trust the exit polls and Chuck Todd's projections?!? After the last 2 elections?!? Are you MAD sir? ;)
If McCain listens to his advisors, and the GOP/DOJ hacks contest every close result and flog the "ZOMG!! ACORN voter fraud!!" meme, we won't know the winner for days. Our only hope is that McCain is tired and just chucks it in and concedes, which I think is within the realm of possibility. He may not even want the damn job anymore.
Florida won't clock in until 9PM, when the panhandle in Central wraps, right? By then we'll have a really good picture of everything else in Eastern, including VA and possibly even Ohio. If Barack has taken NH and VA by that point we don't even need to know anything about Mountain and Pacific - CA, WA and OR aren't going anywhere and he doesn't need NM or CO anymore to get over the top. If VA is close or if it goes to McCain, it will be up to Ohio or FL to put Obama over the top before 10PM, and I don't trust OH or FL. All the double digit states right now plus NH gives him 264. NM will be 269. Anything else (VA, OH, FL, MO, CO being most likely) clinches it.
I'm planning on being knee deep in donuts and bacon by 9:30.
I betcha polls in many states are going to have to be kept open until 10 due to huge lines and "Waddya mean I'm not on the voter rolls?!?" chaos. The first reports of planned Wed. morning GOP court filings will come out in time for the 11 o'clock news. By the time I kick all y'all out of my house at midnight, we'll still have no idea who our next President is.
He's not going to challenge anything that's up by double digits, and there would have to be enough of those to get McCain over 270. So what will be the squeakers? Virginia? New Hampshire?Colorado?
And I don't know about the lines - so many people are voting early it may not be so much of a problem.
I still don't rule out an October Surprise, but anything stolen either by poll shenanigans or court hijinx is going to have to happen a) in states that are pretty close and b) in enough states to push Obama down below 270. And the likely suspects for those are seeming fewer and further between.
I still expect them to contest at least a few states... not for a McCain win, but to cast the veneer of illegitimacy over Obama's win right out of the gate. They got to provide talking point cover for at least the first hundred days of an obstructionist GOP minority in the Senate.
But like I've been saying, I hope the neocon's heart just isn't in that fight anymore. If it's up to the theocon Regent U law school grads to file the briefs, those cases are as good as lost. ;p
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timeasmymeasure
no subject
Date: 2008-10-27 05:17 pm (UTC)If McCain listens to his advisors, and the GOP/DOJ hacks contest every close result and flog the "ZOMG!! ACORN voter fraud!!" meme, we won't know the winner for days. Our only hope is that McCain is tired and just chucks it in and concedes, which I think is within the realm of possibility. He may not even want the damn job anymore.
no subject
Date: 2008-10-27 05:45 pm (UTC)Florida won't clock in until 9PM, when the panhandle in Central wraps, right? By then we'll have a really good picture of everything else in Eastern, including VA and possibly even Ohio. If Barack has taken NH and VA by that point we don't even need to know anything about Mountain and Pacific - CA, WA and OR aren't going anywhere and he doesn't need NM or CO anymore to get over the top. If VA is close or if it goes to McCain, it will be up to Ohio or FL to put Obama over the top before 10PM, and I don't trust OH or FL. All the double digit states right now plus NH gives him 264. NM will be 269. Anything else (VA, OH, FL, MO, CO being most likely) clinches it.
I'm planning on being knee deep in donuts and bacon by 9:30.
no subject
Date: 2008-10-27 05:58 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-10-27 06:01 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-10-27 06:02 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2008-10-27 06:05 pm (UTC)DOOOOOOMED I say! ;p
Date: 2008-10-27 06:03 pm (UTC)I just love our democracy. ;)
Re: DOOOOOOMED I say! ;p
Date: 2008-10-27 06:11 pm (UTC)And I don't know about the lines - so many people are voting early it may not be so much of a problem.
I still don't rule out an October Surprise, but anything stolen either by poll shenanigans or court hijinx is going to have to happen a) in states that are pretty close and b) in enough states to push Obama down below 270. And the likely suspects for those are seeming fewer and further between.
Re: DOOOOOOMED I say! ;p
Date: 2008-10-27 06:18 pm (UTC)But like I've been saying, I hope the neocon's heart just isn't in that fight anymore. If it's up to the theocon Regent U law school grads to file the briefs, those cases are as good as lost. ;p
Re: DOOOOOOMED I say! ;p
Date: 2008-10-27 07:29 pm (UTC)