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bryantThis is a tricky one. But whatever, I've been dumb so far.
Romney wins on the Republican side. Nevada is a local stronghold for him, second probably only to Utah. I'd figure McCain, then Huckabee after Romney. Rudy will slip below Huckabee.
Edwards will come in third among the Democrats. (There, that was easy.) I have a really hard time handicapping Nevada because it's a caucus and it isn't a state that obsesses about caucuses, like Iowa does. But... I think Clinton over Obama.
Meanwhile, in South Carolina, Huckabee should win it. McCain will come in second. Romney will come in third. Fred Thompson will come in fourth, and trumpet it as a victory. All that leaves the field a complete mess on the Republican side, with McCain the increasingly likely establishment candidate.
Romney wins on the Republican side. Nevada is a local stronghold for him, second probably only to Utah. I'd figure McCain, then Huckabee after Romney. Rudy will slip below Huckabee.
Edwards will come in third among the Democrats. (There, that was easy.) I have a really hard time handicapping Nevada because it's a caucus and it isn't a state that obsesses about caucuses, like Iowa does. But... I think Clinton over Obama.
Meanwhile, in South Carolina, Huckabee should win it. McCain will come in second. Romney will come in third. Fred Thompson will come in fourth, and trumpet it as a victory. All that leaves the field a complete mess on the Republican side, with McCain the increasingly likely establishment candidate.
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Date: 2008-01-20 06:01 am (UTC)But McCain takes SC? I really didn't see that coming. And Fred Thompson beating out Romney? Hokey smokes, Bullwinkle! As an evangelical, if Huckabee can't take South Carolina, he certainly can't go the distance.
Whoah - backing up to Nevada as I take a closer look at the results, Ron Paul came in second? WTF? Beating out McCain? Wacky.
Interestingly on the Democrat side, though - again, even though Clinton won it, Obama's coming away with more delegates. It's a narrow margin, but it's keeping Obama ahead with the delegates. Maybe it's just because this is the first election that I've understood the role of delegates, but I'm really surprised that the news outlets aren't discussing the delegate scene more.
And why is Giuliani staying in this thing?