Post-Florida

[bryant]

No revision necessary. Clinton won Florida, as did McCain. Giuliani is dropping out. Huckabee is broke. Giuliani endorses McCain, cementing his position in New York. And McCain is doing great among military voters, which should help in the south. Super Tuesday will be a coronation barring very unexpected events.

And on the Democratic side -- you know, Obama's won as many or more delegates as Clinton in every state so far? Strange world; but I don't think we can complain that Iowa and New Hampshire are picking our candidates this year. It's going to come down to California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Massachusetts, Georgia, and so on. In about that order. I'm still calling it for Clinton.

Comments

[head58.livejournal.com]

Do we have any sense at this point of what the superdelegates will do to the picture?

[cityofbeige.livejournal.com]

Last I heard, they were in favor of Clinton. The candidacy could very well be the fate of the superdelegates... which I think is bullshit. Why do they get more power again?

[head58.livejournal.com]

Also, with Edwards is dropping out today I wonder if that will move his supporters more toward Obama. I would tend to think so.

[bryant]

I think so too. I hadn't expected him to drop out so quickly, but it benefits Obama more even if he's not endorsing anyone yet.

[bryant]

I think in practice they won't matter -- if Obama miraculously wins more delegates on Super Tuesday and takes the emotional lead, the superdelegates aren't going to change that. Bad PR, if nothing else.